Measuring Ideological Proportions in Political Speeches

Cue-lag representation

The table below shows the cue-lag representation of the speech. For each cue term, it also displays the posterior distributions over ideology.

#	Cue term	Lag before term	Posterior distribution
#	Cue term	Lag before term	Restart		∑Left	Center	∑Right
1	lieuten_governor	143		✓	0.623	0.0209	0.356
1	lieuten_governor	143		✗	0	0	0
2	head_start	86		✓	0.00458	0	0.736
2	head_start	86		✗	0.00955	0	0.25
3	__NUM___month	128		✓	0.977	0	0.00915
3	__NUM___month	128		✗	0.00279	0	0.0107
4	__NUM___dai	4		✓	0.0354	0	0.000597
4	__NUM___dai	4		✗	0.958	0	0.00577
5	vote_booth	40		✓	0.189	0	0
5	vote_booth	40		✗	0.811	0	0
6	suprem_court	69		✓	0.288	0	0
6	suprem_court	69		✗	0.712	0	0
7	make_decis	57		✓	0.269	0	0.000398
7	make_decis	57		✗	0.73	0	0
8	futur_gener	20		✓	0.109	0	0.000398
8	futur_gener	20		✗	0.891	0	0
9	good_job	54		✓	0.225	0	0.0205
9	good_job	54		✗	0.755	0	0.000199
10	health_care	58		✓	0.241	0.00119	0.0279
10	health_care	58		✗	0.725	0	0.00537
11	futur_gener	63		✓	0.302	0	0.000199
11	futur_gener	63		✗	0.698	0	0
12	student_loan	8		✓	0.0406	0	0
12	student_loan	8		✗	0.959	0	0
13	good_teacher	13		✓	0.0577	0	0
13	good_teacher	13		✗	0.942	0	0
14	attend_colleg	8		✓	0.0374	0	0.00418
14	attend_colleg	8		✗	0.958	0	0
15	foreign_oil	15		✓	0	0	0.996
15	foreign_oil	15		✗	0.000398	0	0.00378
16	renew_sourc	3		✓	0	0	0.000995
16	renew_sourc	3		✗	0.000398	0	0.999
17	__NUM___year	102		✓	0.785	0	0.115
17	__NUM___year	102		✗	0.000199	0	0.1
18	unit_state	28		✓	0.25	0	0.00856
18	unit_state	28		✗	0.68	0	0.0617
19	steadi_stream	36		✓	0.227	0	0
19	steadi_stream	36		✗	0.77	0	0.00299
20	polit_strategi	57		✓	0.253	0	0
20	polit_strategi	57		✗	0.747	0	0
21	bad_thing	9		✓	0.043	0	0
21	bad_thing	9		✗	0.957	0	0
22	__NUM___year_ago	24		✓	0.113	0	0.00179
22	__NUM___year_ago	24		✗	0.886	0	0
23	stai_home	45		✓	0.195	0	0.000398
23	stai_home	45		✗	0.805	0	0
24	young_peopl	8		✓	0.0378	0	0.00179
24	young_peopl	8		✗	0.96	0	0.000398
25	number___NUM__	5		✓	0.0275	0	0.00139
25	number___NUM__	5		✗	0.969	0	0.00199
26	__NUM___year_ago	0		✓	0.00557	0	0
26	__NUM___year_ago	0		✗	0.991	0	0.00318
27	move_forward	97		✓	0.392	0.000199	0.0205
27	move_forward	97		✗	0.587	0	0.000597
28	american_peopl	19		✓	0.0937	0	0.00299
28	american_peopl	19		✗	0.896	0	0.00716
29	homeless_shelter	41		✓	0.179	0	0.00517
29	homeless_shelter	41		✗	0.814	0	0.00139
30	__NUM___year_ago	22		✓	0.113	0	0.000199
30	__NUM___year_ago	22		✗	0.886	0	0.000398
31	colleg_educ	13		✓	0.0585	0	0
31	colleg_educ	13		✗	0.941	0	0
32	tax_credit	26		✓	0.112	0	0.000199
32	tax_credit	26		✗	0.888	0	0
33	colleg_tuition	8		✓	0.043	0	0
33	colleg_tuition	8		✗	0.957	0	0
34	__NUM___year	5		✓	0.0241	0	0.000995
34	__NUM___year	5		✗	0.975	0	0
35	student_loan	4		✓	0.0205	0	0.000199
35	student_loan	4		✗	0.979	0	0
36	taxpay_monei	9		✓	0.0448	0	0.00139
36	taxpay_monei	9		✗	0.954	0	0
37	capitol_hill	26		✓	0.108	0	0.00358
37	capitol_hill	26		✗	0.888	0	0
38	student_loan	6		✓	0.034	0	0.000597
38	student_loan	6		✗	0.963	0	0.00199
39	__NUM___million	4		✓	0.0243	0	0.00318
39	__NUM___million	4		✗	0.97	0	0.00219
40	young_peopl	35		✓	0.151	0	0.000398
40	young_peopl	35		✗	0.849	0	0
41	colleg_educ	8		✓	0.0432	0	0.00119
41	colleg_educ	8		✗	0.955	0	0.000199
42	foreign_oil	11		✓	0	0	0.994
42	foreign_oil	11		✗	0.00338	0	0.00299
43	__NUM___year	13		✓	0	0	0.0107
43	__NUM___year	13		✗	0.000995	0	0.988
44	renew_energi	10		✓	0	0	0.00438
44	renew_energi	10		✗	0	0	0.996
45	__NUM___mile	20		✓	0	0	0.000995
45	__NUM___mile	20		✗	0	0	0.999
46	greenhous_ga_emiss	16		✓	0	0	0.000199
46	greenhous_ga_emiss	16		✗	0	0	1
47	carbon_emiss	12		✓	0	0	0.000398
47	carbon_emiss	12		✗	0	0	1
48	foreign_oil	17		✓	0	0	0.000995
48	foreign_oil	17		✗	0	0	0.999
49	__NUM___year	7		✓	0.00299	0	0.000796
49	__NUM___year	7		✗	0	0	0.996
50	greenhous_gase	7		✓	0.00179	0	0.000199
50	greenhous_gase	7		✗	0.00299	0	0.995
51	__NUM___year	8		✓	0.278	0	0.0531
51	__NUM___year	8		✗	0.00418	0	0.665
52	__NUM___million	51		✓	0.75	0	0.00736
52	__NUM___million	51		✗	0.225	0	0.0173
53	young_peopl	1		✓	0.0297	0	0
53	young_peopl	1		✗	0.969	0	0.00139
54	health_insur	2		✓	0.00756	0	0
54	health_insur	2		✗	0.992	0	0
55	save_monei	14		✓	0.000398	0	0
55	save_monei	14		✗	1	0	0
56	prescript_drug	3		✓	0.000398	0	0
56	prescript_drug	3		✗	1	0	0
57	gain_access	3		✓	0	0	0
57	gain_access	3		✗	1	0	0
58	prevent_care	3		✓	0.000398	0	0
58	prevent_care	3		✗	1	0	0
59	young_peopl	16		✓	0.414	0	0.00338
59	young_peopl	16		✗	0.583	0	0
60	gi_bill	36		✓	0.652	0	0.000398
60	gi_bill	36		✗	0.347	0	0.000199
61	america_futur	91		✓	0.24	0	0.362
61	america_futur	91		✗	0.398	0	0.000199
62	good_job	18		✓	0.0657	0.000199	0.0693
62	good_job	18		✗	0.545	0	0.319
63	middl_class	5		✓	0.0121	0.000199	0.073
63	middl_class	5		✗	0.534	0.000199	0.381
64	econom_plan	104		✓	0	0	0.698
64	econom_plan	104		✗	0	0	0.302
65	tax_cut	8		✓	0	0	0.0304
65	tax_cut	8		✗	0	0	0.97
66	__MONEY___trillion	2		✓	0	0	0.00836
66	__MONEY___trillion	2		✗	0	0	0.992
67	__MONEY___million	10		✓	0.000199	0	0.0336
67	__MONEY___million	10		✗	0	0	0.966
68	make___MONEY__	4		✓	0	0	0.0169
68	make___MONEY__	4		✗	0	0	0.983
69	__MONEY___million	0		✓	0	0	0.00299
69	__MONEY___million	0		✗	0	0	0.997
70	tax_cut	9		✓	0	0.000597	0.0263
70	tax_cut	9		✗	0	0	0.973
71	rais_tax	61		✓	0	0	0.197
71	rais_tax	61		✗	0	0.000199	0.803
72	middl_class	2		✓	0	0	0.0115
72	middl_class	2		✗	0	0	0.988
73	class_famili	0		✓	0.000199	0.000398	0.00338
73	class_famili	0		✗	0	0	0.996
74	tax_cut	11		✓	0	0	0.0394
74	tax_cut	11		✗	0	0.000398	0.96
75	financi_aid	25		✓	0.00259	0	0.089
75	financi_aid	25		✗	0	0	0.908
76	__NUM___million	2		✓	0.00139	0	0.00896
76	__NUM___million	2		✗	0.00239	0	0.987
77	middl_class	25		✓	0.00119	0.00139	0.088
77	middl_class	25		✗	0.000199	0	0.909
78	class_famili	0		✓	0.000199	0	0.00338
78	class_famili	0		✗	0.00119	0.00139	0.994
79	__NUM___month	96		✓	0.207	0.000995	0.251
79	__NUM___month	96		✗	0.000597	0	0.54
80	tax_cut	40		✓	0.000597	0.14	0.226
80	tax_cut	40		✗	0.00179	0.000796	0.63
81	cut_tax	23		✓	0	0.0619	0.0657
81	cut_tax	23		✗	0	0.141	0.732
82	middl_class	2		✓	0	0.00279	0.00856
82	middl_class	2		✗	0	0.202	0.786
83	class_famili	0		✓	0	0.000597	0.00338
83	class_famili	0		✗	0	0.205	0.791
84	small_busi	3		✓	0.000398	0.00915	0.0119
84	small_busi	3		✗	0	0.206	0.773
85	tax_increas	48		✓	0.000199	0.0195	0.126
85	tax_increas	48		✗	0	0.207	0.647
86	cut_spend	48		✓	0.0127	0	0.324
86	cut_spend	48		✗	0	0.0213	0.642
87	fair_share	13		✓	0.474	0	0.0227
87	fair_share	13		✗	0.0131	0.000398	0.49
88	borrow_monei	111		✓	0.663	0.000199	0.0289
88	borrow_monei	111		✗	0.269	0	0.0386
89	commun_colleg	63		✓	0.309	0	0
89	commun_colleg	63		✗	0.691	0	0
90	student_loan	39		✓	0.165	0	0.000199
90	student_loan	39		✗	0.835	0	0
91	__NUM___year_ago	2		✓	0.0131	0	0
91	__NUM___year_ago	2		✗	0.987	0	0
92	tax_credit	24		✓	0.102	0	0
92	tax_credit	24		✗	0.898	0	0
93	higher_educ	14		✓	0.0601	0	0
93	higher_educ	14		✗	0.94	0	0
94	young_person	15		✓	0.0697	0	0
94	young_person	15		✗	0.93	0	0
95	unit_state	27		✓	0.0748	0	0.399
95	unit_state	27		✗	0.526	0	0.000199
96	big_oil	25		✓	0	0	0.618
96	big_oil	25		✗	0.000199	0	0.382
97	oil_compani	0		✓	0	0	0.000199
97	oil_compani	0		✗	0.000199	0	1
98	renew_sourc	25		✓	0	0	0.000796
98	renew_sourc	25		✗	0	0	0.999
99	solar_energi	43		✓	0	0	0.00219
99	solar_energi	43		✗	0	0	0.998
100	__MONEY___billion	18		✓	0	0	0.000796
100	__MONEY___billion	18		✗	0	0	0.999
101	corpor_welfar	5		✓	0	0	0
101	corpor_welfar	5		✗	0	0	1
102	oil_compani	2		✓	0	0	0
102	oil_compani	2		✗	0	0	1
103	make_monei	3		✓	0	0	0.000597
103	make_monei	3		✗	0	0	0.999
104	health_insur	76		✓	0.999	0	0.000796
104	health_insur	76		✗	0	0	0
105	insur_system	0		✓	0.000796	0	0
105	insur_system	0		✗	0.999	0	0
106	insur_compani	3		✓	0	0	0.000199
106	insur_compani	3		✗	1	0	0
107	move_forward	32		✓	0.00617	0	0.000199
107	move_forward	32		✗	0.994	0	0
108	health_care	4		✓	0.000995	0	0
108	health_care	4		✗	0.999	0	0
109	cut_cost	4		✓	0.000199	0	0
109	cut_cost	4		✗	1	0	0
110	save_live	6		✓	0.000597	0	0
110	save_live	6		✗	0.999	0	0
111	__NUM___million	97		✓	0.0318	0	0.000199
111	__NUM___million	97		✗	0.968	0	0
112	young_peopl	1		✓	0.000398	0	0
112	young_peopl	1		✗	1	0	0
113	prescript_drug	6		✓	0.000597	0	0.000199
113	prescript_drug	6		✗	0.999	0	0
114	health_care	53		✓	0.142	0	0.0131
114	health_care	53		✗	0.844	0	0
115	singl_person	45		✓	0.414	0	0.000199
115	singl_person	45		✗	0.586	0	0
116	suprem_court	38		✓	0.088	0	0
116	suprem_court	38		✗	0.912	0	0
117	move_forward	4		✓	0.00756	0	0.000597
117	move_forward	4		✗	0.992	0	0
118	health_care_system	9		✓	0.0145	0	0
118	health_care_system	9		✗	0.985	0	0
119	__NUM___year	52		✓	0.379	0	0.087
119	__NUM___year	52		✗	0.534	0	0
120	health_care	38		✓	0.225	0.000597	0.0171
120	health_care	38		✗	0.726	0	0.0314
121	make_sens	25		✓	0.319	0	0.0115
121	make_sens	25		✗	0.653	0	0.0163
122	young_peopl	5		✓	0.076	0	0.000398
122	young_peopl	5		✗	0.918	0	0.00557
123	pledg_allegi	10		✓	0.0945	0	0
123	pledg_allegi	10		✗	0.905	0	0
124	move_forward	76		✓	0.28	0.000199	0.0699
124	move_forward	76		✗	0.65	0	0
125	work_hard	78		✓	0.333	0	0.0543
125	work_hard	78		✗	0.595	0	0.0175
126	american_creed	14		✓	0.0537	0.000199	0.0627
126	american_creed	14		✗	0.818	0	0.0655
127	remain_true	70		✓	0.0631	0.000796	0.668
127	remain_true	70		✗	0.142	0	0.127
128	__NUM___troop	71		✓	0.084	0	0.00279
128	__NUM___troop	71		✗	0.134	0	0.78
129	troop_home	0		✓	0.000995	0	0.00378
129	troop_home	0		✗	0.213	0	0.782
130	nation_secur	21		✓	0.0139	0	0.0299
130	nation_secur	21		✗	0.17	0	0.786
131	bin_laden	39		✓	0.035	0	0.000199
131	bin_laden	39		✗	0.152	0	0.813
132	troop_home	8		✓	0.00836	0	0
132	troop_home	8		✗	0.179	0	0.813
133	nation_secur	33		✓	0.0328	0	0.00259
133	nation_secur	33		✗	0.158	0	0.806
134	bottom_line	102		✓	0.00537	0	0.967
134	bottom_line	102		✗	0.00199	0	0.0261
135	__MONEY___trillion	15		✓	0	0	0.0619
135	__MONEY___trillion	15		✗	0	0	0.938
136	tax_cut	1		✓	0	0	0.00537
136	tax_cut	1		✗	0	0	0.995
137	creat_job	10		✓	0.0191	0	0.0348
137	creat_job	10		✗	0	0	0.946
138	__NUM___month	69		✓	0.789	0	0.0496
138	__NUM___month	69		✗	0.0137	0	0.147
139	attack_ad	47		✓	0.358	0	0
139	attack_ad	47		✗	0.642	0	0.000398
140	__MONEY___million	31		✓	0.147	0	0.0117
140	__MONEY___million	31		✗	0.841	0	0
141	young_peopl	20		✓	0.106	0	0.000199
141	young_peopl	20		✗	0.893	0	0.000995
142	statu_quo	7		✓	0.0394	0	0.00139
142	statu_quo	7		✗	0.959	0	0.000398
143	big_oil	24		✓	0.104	0	0.0233
143	big_oil	24		✗	0.872	0	0.000597
144	insur_compani	2		✓	0.000199	0	0.00378
144	insur_compani	2		✗	0.973	0	0.0231
145	statu_quo	84		✓	0.953	0.000796	0.0368
145	statu_quo	84		✗	0.00756	0	0.00159
146	american_histori	12		✓	0.0693	0.00139	0.00896
146	american_histori	12		✗	0.894	0.000796	0.0261
147	__NUM___part	105		✓	0.437	0	0.0111
147	__NUM___part	105		✗	0.55	0	0.00199
148	young_peopl	16		✓	0.0828	0	0.00159
148	young_peopl	16		✗	0.913	0	0.00239
149	bring_home	76		✓	0.332	0	0
149	bring_home	76		✗	0.668	0	0
150	renew_energi	4		✓	0.0195	0.000199	0.000398
150	renew_energi	4		✗	0.98	0	0
151	work_hard	17		✓	0.0756	0	0.00299
151	work_hard	17		✗	0.921	0	0
152	unit_state	67		✓	0.282	0	0.00159
152	unit_state	67		✗	0.716	0	0.000199
153	god_bless	9		✓	0.0482	0	0
153	god_bless	9		✗	0.952	0	0
154	unit_state	7		✓	0.0358	0	0.00637
154	unit_state	7		✗	0.958	0	0
	__END_OF_SPEECH__	3

Barack Obama

Cue-lag representation